The Majority Should Incorporate Minority
Ideas
Given the election results,
John Suthers (63), former Attorney General for the state of Colorado, beat Mary
Lou Makepeace (73), a former councilwoman and mayor, by a wide margin: 68% to
32%. What do these numbers tell us?
As the business community
knows all too well, marketing hype is one thing, actual results may tell a
different story. Doubling your sales sounds impressive only when you forget to
disclose that you sold only two cars last month.
So, let’s dig one level
deeper into the election numbers. To begin with, there are about 439,886
residents in Colorado Springs (official site, 2013). Not all residents are
eligible to vote: those under the age of 18 account (about 25% of them), so that
leaves about 329,914. We must deduct the number of felons and foreigners (legal
or illegal), so we can assume about 300,000 in round numbers.
How many of these are both
eligible and registered to vote? Without an official answer, we can estimate about
75%, which would give us 247,435. What we do know is that about 39% of those actually
voted, 95,502.
This also means that only
21.7% of the total population voted. Of that group, 68% chose Suthers (64,941
voters). If you consider all the residents of Colorado Springs whose mayor
he’ll be, then about 15% actually endorsed him.
In case you think that this situation
is unique to our city, the same percentages in round numbers are true of
presidential elections when only about 146 million Americans are registered out
of a population that exceeds 300 million.
The point, of course, is not
that the new mayor or any other elected official hasn’t been properly elected;
only that the rhetorical claims for public support and mandate are greatly
exaggerated given our current democratic system of election.
But there is another point
about the “wisdom of the crowds,” so named and popularized by James Surowiecki
in 2004. According to this theory, the wisdom of the many (the majority) is
greater than that of the few (however expert they may be).
This view was illustrated in
a TED talk by Lior Zoref in 2012 when he asked the audience to estimate the
weight of an ox. Of 500 entries, the lowest guess was 308 pounds, the highest
8,000, and the average was 1,792. The actual weight was 1,795. Pretty
impressive!
This live experiment has
been used to argue that if we polled lots of people, no matter the issue, their
collective wisdom would exceed or be more accurate than that of a few CEOs or
politicians.
Would that be true of
political decisions, say, about the future of the City of Champions or the oversight
of city-owned utilities? The public will always want to pay as little in taxes
as possible while maintaining a high level of city services. Public officials
will be the bearers of bad news: the less tax revenue, the less service.
Not only is there an
inherent conflict between residents’ aversion to paying higher taxes and city
officials who wish to ensure services are delivered, but there is another problem
to consider. What if following the so-called wisdom of the crowd, the majority,
leads us to adopt the lowest common denominator?
Instead of making difficult
choices that may upset some in order to ensure long-term viability, we follow
short-term sentiments and face future disasters. Scientists and innovators,
entrepreneurs and thinkers, worry less about what everyone thinks in order to
forge ahead into uncharted territories.
It was the British philosopher
and economist John Stuart Mill who cautioned us in the 19th century
against the tyranny of the majority. For him, it was important to listen to and
account for minority voices, those whose insights may shed light on issues the
majority may overlook.
A similar sentiment was
expressed by the German philosopher Friedrich Nietzsche, also in the 19th
century, about “herd mentality” and the ways in which crowds can be swayed in
one direction or another, especially when a charismatic leader pushes an
ideology.
Coming back to mayor
Suthers, yes, he has a mandate, but it’s a thin one. Yes, his proposals were
endorsed by more than twice as many people who endorsed Makepeace’s. But as we
know from voting patterns in our city, retired voters (military and others)
vote in greater proportion to young ones. What do young residents want?
Would legalizing recreation
marijuana sales within city limits have the same effect as in Denver? It’s not
about “pot-heads,” but about an image of open-mindedness that invites
newcomers, as Denver has successfully done. If we want to balance the city
military-dependency with startups, listening to minority (voting) voices might
help.
Raphael
Sassower is professor of philosophy at UCCS. He can be reached at rsassower@gmail.com See
previous articles at sassower.blogspot.com
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